Motorcycles are becoming a “luxury hobby” at last. I sense an atmosphere where only people who truly love bikes and have deep pockets can maintain and continue riding. If you’re wavering about whether to quit, now is definitely the time to sell. The vintage motorcycle bubble seems to have peaked around the year before last to last year. The chances of prices rising further on domestic demand alone are extremely slim. If anything, it would be through overseas exports, but overall I see only a future of gradual decline. I pray that shops that have “pickled” used bikes bought at high prices (bonsai-fied them) won’t face a harsh winter (´ω`)
Now, the “Strait of Hormuz problem” is about to flare up again. Why does it hit engine oil directly? There are three big reasons.
Container costs (pails and 4-liter cans) and logistics inflation Like thinner in a 10-liter can, the manufacturing cost of the steel can itself and the hazmat transport fees pile right on.
Base oil (mineral oil) supply squeeze Base oil, which makes up about 80% of engine oil, is made by highly refining crude oil. Refinery operations and the high cost of imported crude directly push up manufacturing costs.
Overseas-dependent “additive shock” (this is the biggest weak point!) The remaining roughly 20% of additives (detergent-dispersants, anti-wear agents, viscosity index improvers, and more) are highly sophisticated chemical compounds. A handful of overseas mega-suppliers like Lubrizol and Infineum control the lion’s share of the global market. When raw materials get disrupted or ocean shipping stops, additives don’t arrive, and domestic blenders (manufacturers) can’t make oil even if they want to.
It’s truly exhausting, but tires are riding another wave of price hikes in tandem. An era where a front and rear set of 17-inch high-grip radials costs 100,000 to 120,000 yen is right around the corner. Maybe an age is coming where we enjoy middle-weight to small-displacement bikes with thin bias tires, nice and easy.
Motorcycles are completely shifting from a pastime anyone can enjoy casually to a hobby for the chosen few.
Today’s pit essay: memorial log
Theme:In memory of manga artist and illustrator Showhei Halumoto & for the [HAL] memorial bike meeting held October 11, 2026 (Sunday)
Event info:Held October 11, 2026 (Sunday) at the Oiso Prince Hotel first parking lot, Kanagawa Prefecture
Photo frame displayed in the pit: ‘Kirin’, ‘RIDEX’, ‘CB feeling’…. The bloodline drawings left by the master, words that pierce the solitude and pride of motorcycle riders. Even though the master has passed, his soul lives on eternally in the photo frame and in the machines we ride.
Shop owner’s word: Katana, Ninja, air-cooled Z, CB. At the root of everything we do in the pit—getting covered in oil, tightening bolts, tuning our beloved machines—there was always the world drawn by Showhei Halumoto. Blessings to all motorcycle riders, to every emblem!